Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.044022 2.484830 2.982763 3.584552 4.289685 5.087168 6.054675
2025-04-20 1.481186 2.051972 2.770108 3.730075 4.968436 6.499770 8.522562
2025-04-27 1.124196 1.743572 2.597549 3.838316 5.567787 7.861827 11.096952
2025-05-04 0.909528 1.556553 2.521603 4.025353 6.259050 9.394136 14.050353
2025-05-11 0.709941 1.334207 2.336516 4.002040 6.622133 10.488549 16.497020
2025-05-18 0.540040 1.112423 2.099269 3.842224 6.734790 11.204346 18.441312
2025-05-25 0.408973 0.922040 1.869925 3.644294 6.740507 11.732805 20.125460
2025-06-01 0.333264 0.815255 1.762363 3.628083 7.028046 12.713061 22.578414
2025-06-08 0.278132 0.735256 1.687000 3.652406 7.378639 13.816988 25.311265
2025-06-15 0.230288 0.657788 1.600116 3.637401 7.649568 14.801564 27.916203
2025-06-22 0.178472 0.555437 1.439843 3.448759 7.568361 15.157064 29.466960
2025-06-29 0.148328 0.498431 1.366300 3.424286 7.793888 16.071425 32.053332
2025-07-06 0.122024 0.444523 1.291025 3.388834 8.002854 16.992502 34.763179
2025-07-13 0.111553 0.433588 1.318094 3.587138 8.716163 18.927642 39.480650
2025-07-20 0.099050 0.412350 1.314733 3.714012 9.291929 20.644717 43.916314
2025-07-27 0.090549 0.401494 1.336587 3.904146 10.024598 22.727161 49.188059
2025-08-03 0.076013 0.364219 1.277595 3.884449 10.286724 23.884697 52.752583
2025-08-10 0.060181 0.315248 1.173096 3.729792 10.219816 24.358578 55.002221
2025-08-17 0.046566 0.268322 1.062270 3.537302 10.036865 24.567282 56.726357
2025-08-24 0.039176 0.244504 1.018570 3.521635 10.277246 25.696001 60.394998
2025-08-31 0.033654 0.226642 0.990336 3.545381 10.617470 27.067435 64.653934
2025-09-07 0.028374 0.207145 0.951405 3.530777 10.857573 28.232887 68.551241
2025-09-14 0.021795 0.176414 0.862554 3.346991 10.632817 28.324429 70.154573